AUD/USD

It‘s not the first time that we are talking about this great pair.  The thing about this pair that makes it so exciting is that every few weeks, days or hours this pair is breaking the previous record and moving in a uptrend. Take a look over the daily chart and you will clearly see the trend this currency is moving in. Over the last year we have seen that this pair has moved in the 2600 pips range and in a clear uptrend. Now the big question I hear everyone asking is when and will this pair will really break the record and prove this uptrend to be real and reach the highest point of 0.9400?

In order to get the feeling of the movement you will need to take a look at a few different parameters, one is the fundamental news that will come from the US and Australia that will directly affect the move and trend of this currency.  Next thing to do is keep looking over the chart and to technically analyze the trend of this pair over non fundamental days where only sentiment will effects its movement.  The combination of both will help you make the right decision when trading. Over the last few weeks the market has moved nicely for this pair, let’s go ahead and translate today’s movements to money in our pockets!

Fundamentals:  We have a few announcements today which will affect the market.

Coming from United Kingdom we have the “Services Purchasing Managers’ Index”. The previous announcement was 54.1 and the forecast for today is 54.6. (08:30 GMT).

Two more announcements are also coming in. One from the US “ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI” which will be released at 14:00 GMT, the previous announcement was 48.4 and the forecast for today is 50.  Also coming from New Zealand we have the “Business Confidence”. The previous announcement was -25. (21:00 GMT), no forecast on this one available.

Fundamentals:  We have a few announcements today which will affect the market.

Coming from U.K we have the “Inflation Report Hearings”.  Another announcement is coming from Germany and it is about the “German ZEW Economic Sentiment” The previous announcement was 56.1 and the forecast for today is 59.9. (9:00 GMT).

A few more announcement are coming in from US . Those are “Core Retail sales” The previous announcement was -0.6% and the forecast for today is 0.4%. The second is going to be covering the “PPI  mm” The previous announcement was -0.9% and the forecast for today is 0.9%. Finally the  “Retail Sales m/m“ which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The previous announcement was -0.1% and the forecast for today is 1.9%. Also at (14:00 GMT) we have the Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaking.

EUR/USD

Let’s start analyzing this fascinating couple. The earlier preview over this pair indicated an uptrend for the EUR.  It appears we took the profit from yesterday move big time.  The EUR  continues to  strengthen and you can clearly view that over a daily chart.

After a strong uptrend move around 137 pips, the EUR/USD has bounced at 1.4515 to A new  levels close to 1.4652. Currently the pair is trading around 1.4647 to 1.4591. Over a daily chart, it is important to note that there is a strong support for the USD at the 1.4600 line.
From a fundamental point of view Barack Obama called yesterday for Congress to tighten the supervision of Wall Street warned the financial community about reckless behavior that could result to another meltdown. President Obama also cautioned about the risks that could lead to a BS Pal “information, similar to that of 1930s. President Obama also said that the US financial system was crashing a year ago with the bankruptcy of Lehman brothers and today the US economy is a  recovery mode. President Obama also indicated that he expects jobless claims to start declining and see more jobs created in the US over the coming months.

Let’s translate yesterday movements to money!

Resistances-1.4650 – 1.4690

Supports-1.4600 – 1.4515

USD/CHF

It appears the last few days the Swiss franc is moving in a clear downtrend.

Today we saw some negative announcement coming from Switzerland as well. The forecast for the “Core Retail sales”  was 7.8% and it came out only at 2.7%. That is the clear explanation for why the SWISSY is in a downtrend at the moment. The support and the resistances lines are the main tools to keep tracking this pair as the day continues. We will also look forward for the announcements coming from the US later today that could effect this pair more.

Resistances – 1.0360 – 1.0425

Supports – 1.0325 – 1.0290

Fundamentals:  We have a few announcements today which will likely affect the market.

Coming from Switzerland we have the “Producer and Import Prices, Producer Input Prices”. The previous announcement was 0.0% and the Forecast is 0.1%. (07:15 GMT).

One more announcement coming in from Europe. Industrial Production which will be released at 09:00 GMT, previously resulted at -0.6% and the forecast for today is -0.3%. Later on we will have the FOMC Member Lacker Speak at 16:30 and At 19:50 we will have the FOMC Member Yellen Speak (US)

one of the most obvious indicators of the dollar condition is certainly the INX  chart ,as shown on the chart below we had  a clear trend  with the USD, shown from a technical & fundamental  point of view .the current trend  clearly reflects the situation of the USD against most of the world’s currency, especially when we face such a recession in a global scale. We deal with the biggest question on daily basis which is, what is the next strongest currency ?

It appears like most of the world wants to look for a new primary currency.  We should not be too radical when we enter any transaction this week. Let’s go over what happened the last few days.

EUR/USD

What an amazing weekend, we had a few fascinating moves that only adds more money to our packets.  Checkout the latest move from this pair.  We can see that once we join the trends here we can make a good amount of money with this pair. We will need to see what’s going to happen this week, and with that data we can start working step by step.  We will start by looking over the EUR/USD, lets break it down and we will see how much money we can make dealing this pair.  we can finally see the EUR break the Resistance line, now we will need to start analyzing what will happen next.  The 1.4717 high from December 2008 is next if the EUR continues with this uptrend.

Resistances 1.4560 – 1.4630

Supports 1.4520 – 1.4460

Fundamentals:  We have a few announcements today which will affect the market.

Coming from U.K we have the “Manufacturing Production”. The previous announcement was 0.4% and the forecast for today is 0.3%. (8:30 GMT).

One more announcement coming from Canada “Building Permits” which will be release at 12:30 GMT. The previous announcement was 1.0% and the forecast for today is 0.5%.

USD/CAD

Let’s start analyzing this fascinating couple, Earlier this week, the cad dollar continuing strengthening, you can clearly see it over a daily chart ,

After falling around 90 pips on the back of the August US unemployment report from 1.0970, USD/CAD has bounced at 1.0885 to previous levels close to 1.0980. Currently the pair is trading around 1.1050 to 1.0650 over a daily chart, it is important to note that there is a strong resistance point at 1.0825 .

this pair is a wonderful pair for scalping  traders , the pair is in  clear range, we can find some opportunities by continuing  to trade with this pair. Let’s translate yesterday movements to money

Resistances-1.0830 – 1.0895

Supports-1.0730 – 1.0680

XAU/USD

One of the most fascinating things in the forex market is the possibility to trade with commodities . Especially the black oil trade , witch so-called gold.
Over the last few days we are in a track we can find a clear volatility coming from this pair.
last time this pair had reached to the same levels as now ,was on th23 February, you can find it over the hourly chart , as we can see the pair tried several times to cross the resistance line, it’s hard to say what will happen, but it certainly seems that this direction is an uptrend.

Resistances -1030

Supports -990